ND Gorica vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
GOR
1 - 0
FCK
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
GOR
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 2
GOR
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NKD
3 - 1
GOR
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
GOR
1 - 4
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
NKP
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NKP
0 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
NKP
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NKP
0 - 2
DOM
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 0
NKP
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |