Goražde vs Tomislav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
41
4º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goražde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
GRD
2 - 1
GOR
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
GOR
4 - 1
GOR
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GOR
3 - 0
RAD
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BUD
4 - 1
GOR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GOR
0 - 2
RAD
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tomislav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
TMS
1 - 2
GOR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 4
TMS
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TMS
1 - 1
RAD
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ZVI
0 - 1
TMS
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TMS
1 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |