Goražde vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
13º
12º
42
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goražde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ČEL
1 - 0
GOR
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
GOR
29%
29%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 3
NSO
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ZVI
1 - 0
GOR
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 2
GRD
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TMS
3 - 1
SLO
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 5
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 0
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 6
BBL
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |