FA Cup Previa 2
Global 3-6
Goole vs Dunston UTS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
GOO
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HAL
0 - 3
GOO
8%
13%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GOO
1 - 5
MOR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OSS
7 - 2
GOO
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GOO
1 - 0
TRA
17%
21%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 3
RUN
62%
19%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
DUN
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
GOO
77%
14%
10%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
OUF
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
DUN
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |