Good Luck vs Aiglon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
16º
16º
26
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Good Luck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USD
5 - 0
GOO
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GOO
1 - 3
CPE
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GOL
4 - 1
GOO
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GOL
7 - 3
GOO
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOO
3 - 3
CAS
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 2
AIG
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
0 - 1
GOL
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
AIG
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
1 - 0
TRE
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AIG
4 - 1
GOL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |