Good Luck vs Vert-Pré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
72.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
10º
10º
17
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Good Luck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ASP
3 - 0
GOO
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GOO
0 - 2
USR
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RCS
13 - 0
GOO
76%
16%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOO
1 - 6
NEW
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVP
1 - 0
GOO
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 0
TRE
65%
18%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
AVP
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 0
CPE
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVP
1 - 0
GOO
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |