Gonzaga vs Nuova Curtatone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonzaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
GON
58%
21%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
GON
28%
24%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GON
0 - 0
VIG
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
GON
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GON
3 - 1
CAS
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nuova Curtatone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
NUO
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 2
LAZ
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
NUO
33%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
3 - 0
VIG
30%
23%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |