Gondomar vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 1
GON
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GON
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BMA
1 - 1
GON
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GON
0 - 1
OLH
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 2
GON
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRO
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |