Gondomar vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
GON
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GON
1 - 2
CHA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
POR
1 - 3
GON
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
AVE
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 4
GON
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEX
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
EST
1 - 3
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCM
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
VAR
0 - 0
MAI
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |