Gondomar vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
GON
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GON
4 - 0
SAN
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GON
5 - 1
OLI
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COI
1 - 1
GON
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
SAL
14%
23%
64%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COI
2 - 1
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
MOI
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CIN
1 - 3
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |