Gondomar vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 2
GON
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GON
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GON
7 - 0
SPO
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GON
1 - 1
SAL
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
GON
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PED
2 - 1
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PED
1 - 0
AMA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIN
2 - 2
AMA
6%
13%
82%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |