Gondim-Maia vs Alfenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondim-Maia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
GMA
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GMA
1 - 1
LAV
67%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAI
1 - 0
GMA
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GMA
4 - 1
INF
45%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 1
GMA
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alfenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PED
3 - 3
ALF
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 1
BAR
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LAV
1 - 0
ALF
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
BAI
21%
22%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
INF
1 - 0
ALF
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |