Petrópolis vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 0
POR
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PET
3 - 1
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SER
0 - 1
PET
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
PET
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAC
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAC
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |