Petrópolis vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
PET
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PET
2 - 5
FRI
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
TIG
2 - 2
PET
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
PET
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PET
0 - 0
ANG
61%
21%
19%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BON
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BON
1 - 2
AFC
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
BOA
2 - 4
BON
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
BON
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BON
0 - 0
BOA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |