Gomel II vs ABFF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+607%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
17º
15º
18
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 71 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 68 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 63 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 61 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 55 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 54 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 51 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 42 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 41 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 26 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
OFC
1 - 2
GOM
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
GOM
0 - 5
VOL
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
GOM
2 - 5
ORS
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 1
GOM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 2
GOM
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
ABFF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
LID
2 - 1
ABF
67%
20%
13%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 2
MIN
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 0
ABF
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ABF
1 - 3
VOL
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 66 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
ABF
0 - 1
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |