Golden State Misioneros vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Misioneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
GSM
0 - 1
FRE
31%
23%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 5
GSM
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GSM
1 - 2
BYU
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GSM
3 - 1
OGD
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
GSM
2 - 2
SEA
59%
20%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SEA
2 - 1
TUC
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
OBS
6 - 0
TUC
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -3 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
SEA
2 - 4
TUC
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 0
OGD
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
TUC
3 - 0
BYU
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |