Golden State Misioneros vs Fresno Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Misioneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 5
GSM
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GSM
1 - 2
BYU
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GSM
3 - 1
OGD
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
GSM
2 - 2
SEA
59%
20%
20%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 3
GSM
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
SEA
82%
12%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
OGD
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BYU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |