Golden Arrows vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 2
GOL
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 1
COS
69%
20%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SUN
0 - 0
GOL
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
BLO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIR
0 - 0
BID
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
BID
1 - 1
AJA
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SSU
2 - 1
BID
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 0
BID
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |