Golden Arrows vs Bidvest Wits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GOL
1 - 0
AJA
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GOL
2 - 2
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
GOL
1 - 1
PLS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PLS
1 - 1
GOL
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GOL
1 - 0
THA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BID
0 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
BID
3 - 3
DYN
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 1
BID
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
BID
3 - 0
THA
77%
17%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
ROS
0 - 2
BID
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |