Golden Arrows vs TS Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
13º
35
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
GOL
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 0
GOL
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 0
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
RIB
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 2
MPU
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TS Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TSG
0 - 0
MAG
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
RKF
1 - 3
TSG
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 0
AMA
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
TSG
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |