Golden Arrows vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
PIR
2 - 1
GOL
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 4
PIR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
GOL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
BID
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 2
GOL
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 1
MAR
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 1
THA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MPU
3 - 2
PRE
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 0
CAP
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 1
BAY
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |