Golden Arrows vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
15º
13º
27
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
RKF
2 - 3
GOL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 0
SSU
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
GOL
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SUN
5 - 0
GOL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 0
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MPU
1 - 0
POL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 0
MPU
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 0
MPU
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 0
MAG
54%
27%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MPU
3 - 0
RKF
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |