Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POL
1 - 1
GOL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
GOL
1 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
GOL
0 - 1
BID
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 1
CHI
19%
26%
55%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 0
MPU
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SSU
2 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |