Gold Coast United vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
6 - 0
GOL
36%
21%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GOL
5 - 1
OLY
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
GOL
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BRR
1 - 2
GOL
45%
21%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 0
GOL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 0
BRR
27%
21%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
LOG
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
SUN
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOG
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |