Gold Coast Stars vs NQ Razorbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GCS
2 - 2
BSF
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GCS
0 - 3
CCA
30%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FNQ
4 - 2
GCS
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GCS
1 - 0
QAS
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BRI
5 - 1
GCS
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
NQ Razorbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NQR
3 - 7
SUN
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BSF
1 - 0
NQR
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NQR
0 - 0
CCA
66%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
FNQ
1 - 1
NQR
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
QAS
5 - 3
NQR
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |