Goiriz vs Comercial B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
GOI
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOI
6 - 1
MAC
28%
23%
50%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
FOL
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ROU
1 - 0
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 1
MUI
33%
24%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COM
3 - 0
MAT
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAZ
3 - 0
COM
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
3 - 0
COM
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
COM
2 - 6
FRI
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |