Goiriz vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 0
GOI
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 3
RIO
22%
22%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COS
3 - 0
GOI
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
SAN
39%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
GOI
35%
24%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
5 - 2
MEI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 3
LOU
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
FOZ
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
XER
0 - 2
LOU
39%
23%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
LOU
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |