Copa Verde Eliminatorias. Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Goiás EC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
28%
27%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
GOI
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 0
URO
79%
16%
6%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
0 - 0
GOI
7%
17%
76%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GIO
1 - 2
GOI
6%
16%
78%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
28%
27%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
APA
2 - 0
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
RIO
71%
19%
9%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 2
VIL
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |