Copa do Brasil 1/32
First leg 3-1
Goiás EC vs Atlético Roraima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.2%
1.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
GOI
4 - 0
SAN
89%
9%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 0
GOI
13%
20%
68%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 3
GOI
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GOI
3 - 2
ANA
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
4 - 0
GAS
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 3
GOI
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 81 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 5
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 7
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | -1 |