Goiânia vs Umuarama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 2
GOI
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 3
GOI
17%
20%
64%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 0
ANA
38%
24%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 1
GOI
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
4 - 0
APA
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 0
UMU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |