Goianésia vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
70.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
4 - 2
GOI
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
1 - 1
GOI
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 2
GOI
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
3 - 2
ITU
21%
25%
55%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 1
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |