Goianésia vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
4 - 0
GOI
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
GOI
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 1
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 0
APA
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
APA
2 - 3
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 0
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
APA
3 - 2
JAT
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |