Goian B vs SD Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goian B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
5 - 1
OLI
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 3
GOI
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TEB
3 - 2
GOI
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 0
RAC
42%
21%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
3 - 1
GOI
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 1
GUI
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SDC
2 - 4
TEB
26%
20%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SDC
51%
20%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SDC
5 - 3
MOS
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 4
SDC
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |