GOES vs SV Orion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
7º
1º
41
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DON
1 - 1
GOE
31%
22%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
RKV
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 5
GOE
17%
20%
64%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 4
ACH
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
GOE
30%
22%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
EVV
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 3
DON
24%
21%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RKV
3 - 1
ORI
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 4
HVC
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
ORI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |