GOES vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MOC
1 - 3
GOE
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOE
5 - 1
MOE
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NEM
2 - 3
GOE
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GOE
4 - 2
TOP
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
GOE
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
SCN
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOC
1 - 1
SCN
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SCN
1 - 1
MOE
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOP
1 - 1
SCN
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SCN
0 - 2
BAR
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |