GOES vs Kruisland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
7º
1º
24
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VEN
4 - 3
GOE
18%
19%
64%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
0 - 4
GOE
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
2 - 2
HAL
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JUL
2 - 3
GOE
19%
20%
62%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 0
EVV
72%
17%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kruisland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
ORI
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DON
2 - 0
SCK
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SCK
3 - 4
RKV
27%
20%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 1
SCK
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
ACH
20%
18%
62%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |