GOES vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
HBS
2 - 1
GOE
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
GOE
2 - 0
EVV
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ADO
0 - 3
GOE
39%
23%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
USV
2 - 3
GOE
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 4
GOE
40%
24%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
OSS
1 - 2
DON
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
VOL
3 - 2
OSS
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OSS
3 - 1
HSC
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
OSS
2 - 0
ADO
47%
22%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
JVC
3 - 2
OSS
16%
20%
64%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |