GOES vs OJC Rosmalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GOE
2 - 1
BLA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GOE
1 - 2
QUI
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TIE
0 - 1
GOE
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GOE
0 - 1
JVC
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OOS
4 - 0
GOE
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
OJC Rosmalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
OJC
1 - 3
TIE
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 5
OJC
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OJC
1 - 1
WES
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
HBS
0 - 3
OJC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OJC
2 - 0
UNA
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +4 |