GOES vs JEKA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VLI
1 - 1
GOE
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
GOE
4 - 3
WSC
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GOE
0 - 2
PSV
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
GOE
54%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GOE
3 - 0
ROO
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
JEKA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JEK
4 - 2
NEM
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
JEK
1 - 1
LON
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
WSC
0 - 2
JEK
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JEK
3 - 3
RKV
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GEL
1 - 0
JEK
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |