GOES vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 0
GOE
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GOE
2 - 0
JUL
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GOE
0 - 1
OSS
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EHC
3 - 0
GOE
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
VLI
1 - 2
GOE
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IFC
3 - 2
EHC
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
IFC
57%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
IFC
1 - 2
VLI
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
GRO
5 - 1
IFC
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
IFC
0 - 2
DBI
35%
21%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |