GOES vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 2
GOE
11%
17%
73%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOE
3 - 0
VEL
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GOE
5 - 2
HMS
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
KOC
2 - 5
GOE
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
XER
0 - 4
GOE
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
IFC
4 - 0
FCB
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POO
1 - 2
IFC
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
KOC
2 - 4
IFC
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
OLY
2 - 3
IFC
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IFC
2 - 0
VEL
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |