GOES vs HMSH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
KOC
2 - 5
GOE
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
XER
0 - 4
GOE
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GOE
6 - 2
WAT
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POO
4 - 2
GOE
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 1
NIE
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HMS
0 - 6
NIE
12%
16%
73%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HMS
1 - 16
POO
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
HMS
0 - 3
GDA
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FCB
4 - 3
HMS
81%
12%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HMS
3 - 1
OLY
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |