GOES vs EVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
7º
1º
46
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DON
1 - 1
GOE
31%
22%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
RKV
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 5
GOE
17%
20%
64%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 4
ACH
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EVV
2 - 2
NUE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
EVV
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVV
1 - 0
SCK
55%
21%
23%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DON
6 - 0
EVV
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EVV
1 - 0
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |