Go Ahead vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GOA
0 - 5
HHC
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 2
GOA
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 0
GOA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GOA
1 - 1
NUN
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BER
0 - 2
GOA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 1
BEQ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HAR
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NUN
2 - 2
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
HHC
2 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 2
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |