Go Ahead vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HHC
0 - 5
GOA
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GOA
5 - 0
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 1
GOA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GOA
1 - 0
GEN
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
ORA
1 - 0
GOA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BER
0 - 1
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
NUN
1 - 0
BER
37%
25%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BER
4 - 1
FLE
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
ORA
3 - 3
BER
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BER
3 - 0
HHC
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |