Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 0
FCD
46%
25%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 3
GRO
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 0
IST
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 1
RJC
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 2
WIL
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
TEL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |