Go Ahead Eagles vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
18º
9º
6
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KON
1 - 4
GAE
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
0 - 0
GAE
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GAE
0 - 0
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAE
4 - 0
HER
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FEY
3 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
ZWO
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FEY
4 - 0
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 3
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |