Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 2-5
Go Ahead Eagles vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 1
SCH
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 2
UTR
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FEY
0 - 1
GAE
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 3
TWE
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
DVS
0 - 2
FTC
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
DVS
1 - 2
FTC
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
FTC
2 - 0
FHV
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 0
FTC
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FTC
1 - 0
BUD
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |