Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
6 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
3 - 0
EIN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
0 - 0
GRA
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MVV
0 - 2
GAE
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 0
HEL
85%
10%
4%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
GRA
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |