Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
GAE
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DON
1 - 3
GAE
15%
19%
67%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
GAE
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAE
2 - 0
RJC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
14%
22%
63%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |